Once considered the third major political force in Bangladesh, the Jatiya Party is now facing an existential crisis. Political analysts say long-standing ties with the Awami League, participation in controversial elections, internal conflicts, and repeated splits have weakened its organizational structure. The party failed to win any seat in the recent national elections, raising questions about its future.
Observers say that although the party survived after the 1990 mass uprising, its position has become increasingly fragile after recent political changes. In the 13th national election, it failed to win any of the 200 constituencies where it fielded candidates.
Even in its stronghold Rangpur, party chairman GM Quader came third in Rangpur-3 constituency, indicating a decline in its traditional voter base.
Analysts say participation in the controversial elections of 2014, 2018, and 2024 alongside the Awami League damaged the party’s image. The party failed to build credibility as an effective opposition.
Internal leadership disputes also persist. After the death of former president Hussain Muhammad Ershad, divisions between supporters of Rowshan Ershad and GM Quader deepened, leading to fragmentation.
Secretary General Shami Haider Patwary claimed the party was deliberately marginalized in recent elections and could bounce back in a fair electoral environment.
Former secretary general Mujibul Haque Chunnu, however, believes the current leadership has little chance of revival, blaming closeness with the Awami League for the party’s disconnect from voters.
Analysts conclude that without organizational reform, new leadership, and a return to grassroots politics, the Jatiya Party may struggle to survive as a major political force and is increasingly seen as a minor party.